New Michigan Poll Reveals Dead Heat in Trump-Harris Presidential Race Following Biden’s Decision
Introduction
Michigan, home to an important battleground electorate, undeniably influence national politics in the U.S. The outcome of a recent poll conducted in the state gives us a snapshot of where the race for the presidential elections stands among likely voters.
The Trump-Harris showdown
A recent WDIV/Detroit News survey was carried out from Monday through Wednesday, following the withdrawal of President Joe Biden from the 2024 presidential race. The poll, which queried Michigan voters on their preferences for the potential race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, found that the presidential race is deadlocked, with Harris and Trump both securing 41% of the vote.
The full poll breakdown indicates that 41.6% of participants pledge their support to Kamala Harris, while 41.3% favor Donald Trump. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. emerged as the choice for 9.7% of voters, while 5.9% remained undecided. Interestingly, the poll revealed a one-point lead for Kennedy among Independent voters, but with nearly 18% still on the fence.
Divergence between male and female voters
The survey revealed significant differences in preferences among male and female voters. Trump enjoys a substantial lead of 15% among male voters with 50.3% favoring him, while Harris leads among women voters by 14.4% at 47.4% of the vote. Kennedy gains 8% and 11.2% from the male and female demographic, respectively.
African American voter support
Among the African American voters in the survey, a strikingly high 82.1% expressed their support for Kamala Harris, while 11.5% supported Kennedy. In a notable departure, none of the African American respondents in this survey expressed support for Trump.
Voter sentiment following Biden’s decision
Biden’s announcement to not run for president again seems to have found favor among Michigan voters, with 88.3% agreeing with his decision. When asked if Biden’s announcement had affected their motivation to vote, 25.6% of respondents claimed that it made them more motivated, while 73.2% said it had made no change. Surprisingly, Biden’s announcement had the largest effect on ‘Strong Democratic’ voters, voters aged 18-29, and African American voters in terms of motivation to vote in November.
Poll Methodology
The survey, conducted by The Glengariff Group, Inc., involved a sample of 600 likely general election voters in Michigan and was conducted between July 22-24, 2024. The survey has a margin of error of +/-4.0% at a 95% confidence level. Of the respondents, 17.8% were reached via landline telephone, while 82.2% were contacted via cell phone.
Conclusion
This recent survey paints a snapshot of how the presidential race might play out in this vital electoral battleground. The race remains dynamic, with key demographic groups poised to have a significant impact on the ultimate result.
Author: STAFF HERE NOVI WRITER
The NOVI STAFF WRITER represents the experienced team at HERENovi.com, your go-to source for actionable local news and information in Novi, Oakland County, and beyond. Specializing in "news you can use," we cover essential topics like product reviews for personal and business needs, local business directories, politics, real estate trends, neighborhood insights, and state news affecting the area—with deep expertise drawn from years of dedicated reporting and strong community input, including local press releases and business updates. We deliver top reporting on high-value events such as Motor City Comic Con, Michigan State Fair, and Novi Home and Garden Show. Our coverage extends to key organizations like the Novi Chamber of Commerce and Novi Community Foundation, plus leading businesses in automotive, technology, and manufacturing that power the local economy such as Gentherm, Stoneridge, and Daifuku North America. As part of the broader HERE network, including HEREDetroitMI.com, HEREGrandRapids.com, HERENorthville.com, and HEREPlymouth.com, we provide comprehensive, credible insights into Michigan's dynamic landscape.
